
View Poll Results: what do you do?  
Keep the box  6  27.27%  
Swap the box  6  27.27%  
Doesn't matter  10  45.45%  
Voters: 22. You may not vote on this poll 

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#31



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if you get to the last two boxes in deal or no deal and the prize is still there you should swap? In order to get to the last 2 boxes in deal or no deal the options are the same as in the Monty hall paradox, so by definition the result must be the same? swap your box. Where the prize = 1: door 1 open door 2 and you swap. you get 3 (lose) door 1 open door 3 and you swap. you get 2 (lose) door 2 open door 1 and you swap. you get 3 (void) cannot do that door 2 open door 3 and you swap. you get 1 (Win) door 3 open door 1 and you swap. you get 2 (void) cannot do that door 3 open door 2 and you swap. you get 1 (win) have 1 open box 2 and you swap. you get 3 (lose) have 1 open box 3 and you swap. you get 2 (lose) have 2 open box 1 and you swap. you get 3 (void) prize has gone have 2 open box 3 and you swap. you get 1 (Win) have 3 open box 1 and you swap. you get 2 (void) prize has gone have 3 open box 2 and you swap. you get 1 (win) James.
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#32



Woohoo, let's forget everything I posted in this thread, wires seem to have been crossed along the way and I can see that I am right.
Moneyman, no need for a reply to my last post. James.
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#33



Quote:
Taking the Deal Or No Deal example. There's a 1 in 22 chance of them having £250,000 to start with because there's only 1 £250,000 in 22 possible boxes. Five boxes are open, but let's say none of them contained £250,000. There's zero chance of the £250,000 being there because they were revealed to have different amounts in, so therefore they have been taken out of the game and 17 remain. There's now a 1 (there's still 1 £250,000) in 17 because 17 boxes remain with the possibility of having the £250,000 in it. When it get's down to the final two (and let's say it's either 1p or £250,000). There's no chance that the 1p or £250,000 being in the other boxes, so there's only two possible boxes that could contain those amounts. There's a 1 (there's still 1 £250,000) in 2 (2 possible boxes) of a selected box containing the £250,000. It's 50/50 chance, so it doesn't matter if you swap at the end or not. 
#34



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#35



Don't forget there these are not yes and no choices. Money or no Money.
You might be luck and havy the £250k and the £125k left then who cares! 
#36



the deal or no deal is much more complicated and more game theory because it depends what outcome you need rather than win or lose. so taking £20,000 when you have a 50/50 chance of winning £250,000 may not be too stupid for that player if he cant afford to lose.
the stupidest contestant i have ever seen was on who wants to be a millionaire. she refused to guess when she was on £1000 and had taken a 50/50. 0 chance of losing 50% chance of improving and she took the money. poor chris just couldnt convince her. aghhhhh. muppet.
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